Human Conflict Project

All events · After the Wall

Nepal's Maoist Conflict and Rural Displacement

1996–2006 · South & Central Asia

Displacement Abduction (Children)
Displaced
200,000
Estimates of people internally displaced by the conflict range from around 100,000 to 200,000 in Nepali government and Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre reporting, and up to 400,000-600,000 in NGO estimates that include conflict-driven movement to India and to Kathmandu, which is hard to separate from Nepal's long-standing labour migration. The lower figures come from district-level registration and humanitarian assessments; the higher ones from survey extrapolation by Nepali NGOs.
Share of the population affected
0.91%
of the population of Nepal at the start of the Maoist insurgency in 1996, 1996
Killed
13,000–17,800
conflict deaths incl. combatants

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What happened

The Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) launched an armed insurgency in February 1996 that spread across most of Nepal's districts before ending with the Comprehensive Peace Agreement of November 2006. Roughly 13,000-17,000 people were killed, the majority by state security forces according to the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights' Nepal Conflict Report of 2012, which documented unlawful killings, torture and enforced disappearances by both sides and identified more than 9,000 individual incidents. Rural populations left the mid-western hill districts under Maoist taxation, forced recruitment including of children, abductions and executions of alleged informers, and under army and armed-police operations, cordon-and-search and detention; teachers, local officials and landowners were particularly targeted. Estimates of internal displacement range from about 100,000 to 200,000 in official and IDMC reporting to several hundred thousand in NGO figures that include movement to India, which is difficult to distinguish from Nepal's established seasonal labour migration. Nepal established a Truth and Reconciliation Commission and a Commission of Investigation on Enforced Disappeared Persons in 2015; both have received tens of thousands of complaints and have been criticised by the Supreme Court of Nepal, OHCHR and victims' groups for failing to deliver prosecutions, and the enabling law was amended in 2024.

Parties

The Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) and Nepalese state security forces drove rural populations from the mid-western hills

Disputed

Displacement figures vary by a factor of several depending on whether conflict-driven movement to India is counted; responsibility for particular killings and disappearances remains largely unadjudicated.

The denominator

UN Population Division estimates put Nepal at about 21.9 million in 1996; the 2001 census counted 23,151,423. Displacement was concentrated in the mid-western and far-western hills - Rolpa, Rukum, Jajarkot, Salyan - where both the Maoists and the security forces drove people from villages.

Displacement estimates for the conflict range from about 100,000 to 200,000 in government and IDMC figures and to 600,000 or more in accounts that include economic migration to India, which is hard to separate from conflict flight.

Where the baseline comes from

On the death toll

The lower figure is the count of documented conflict deaths used by the Nepali government and the International Committee of the Red Cross; the higher figure comes from the Informal Sector Service Centre (INSEC), which maintained the most complete Nepali casualty database and includes cases the state did not record. OHCHR's 2012 report attributes the majority of documented killings to state forces.

Documented forms of violence

Summary ExecutionTortureEnforced DisappearanceAbduction of ChildrenArbitrary Detention

The OHCHR Nepal Conflict Report of 2012 documented all of these forms and attributed them to both the security forces and the Maoist party.

Movements mapped

Countries touched, on present-day borders

Nepal

Sources

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