Human Conflict Project

All events · The World Wars

Displacement by Strategic Bombing in Germany and Japan

1940–1945 · Europe & Northern Eurasia

Displacement
Displaced
15 million
The United States Strategic Bombing Survey found that 3.6 million German dwelling units, about a fifth of the national stock, were destroyed or heavily damaged and that 7.5 million Germans were made homeless; in the roughly fifty main target cities about 40 per cent of dwellings were destroyed. For Japan the Survey found that about 40 per cent of the built-up area of the 66 cities attacked was destroyed and that roughly 30 per cent of the entire urban population lost their homes, some 8.5 million people, on top of the compulsory evacuation of schoolchildren and non-essential residents from the cities. German war-emergency evacuation programmes moved several million women, children and schoolchildren to rural areas and to occupied and allied territories. The figures come from the Survey's own field investigation of city records, published in 1945-46.
Share of the population affected
11%
of the combined populations of Germany and Japan at the start of the bombing campaigns, 1940
Killed
400,000–800,000
conflict deaths incl. combatants

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What happened

Area bombing of cities by the Royal Air Force and the United States Army Air Forces, and the firebombing of Japanese cities from late 1944, destroyed housing on a scale that emptied urban populations into the countryside. In Germany raids such as those on Hamburg in July 1943 and Dresden in February 1945 rendered whole cities uninhabitable within days; the United States Strategic Bombing Survey counted 3.6 million dwellings destroyed or heavily damaged and 7.5 million people made homeless, alongside state-organised evacuation schemes that moved children and non-essential civilians out of the cities. In Japan the incendiary raid on Tokyo of 9-10 March 1945 burned out fifteen square miles of the city in a night, and by the surrender about 30 per cent of the urban population had lost their homes; the government had already ordered the evacuation of schoolchildren and of large numbers of urban residents. The atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in August 1945 destroyed those cities outright. Much of this displacement was temporary, but it overlapped with the flight of civilians before advancing armies and, in Germany, with the expulsions of 1945 onward.

Parties

Allied air forces destroyed German and Japanese cities, and both governments evacuated urban populations under compulsion

Disputed

Whether area bombing of cities was lawful or proportionate has been debated since the war; no tribunal has ruled on it, and the Nuremberg and Tokyo tribunals did not charge aerial bombardment of cities.

The denominator

The German census of May 1939 counted 69.3 million people within the pre-war Reich and the Japanese census of 1940 counted 73.1 million, a combined 142 million. The bombing acted on the urban share of these - roughly 45 million in German towns and cities and about 27 million in Japanese ones - so measured against urban populations alone the displacement share would be far higher.

The affected figure combines people bombed out of their homes with those moved under compulsory evacuation schemes in two countries, and many were displaced more than once, so it exceeds the number of distinct individuals.

Where the baseline comes from

On the death toll

The United States Strategic Bombing Survey estimated about 300,000 German civilians killed and 780,000 wounded, noting that German official statistics recorded 250,253 killed to January 1945 and that its own figures should be treated as a minimum; German research since has produced figures between 350,000 and 500,000. For Japan the Survey estimated about 806,000 civilian casualties including roughly 330,000 deaths, a figure that includes the atomic bombings; Japanese estimates for Hiroshima and Nagasaki alone, counting deaths from radiation injury by the end of 1945, are higher.

Documented forms of violence

Destruction of Property

The scale of housing destruction and consequent homelessness is documented in the field surveys of city records carried out by the United States Strategic Bombing Survey in 1945-46.

Movements mapped

Countries touched, on present-day borders

Germany, Japan

Related entries

Sources

This entry rests only on reference, press or open-edited sources. Treat its figures as indicative and follow the links before relying on them.
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