Human Conflict Project

All events · The Long Emergencies

Darfur Conflict

2003–ongoing · Sub-Saharan Africa

Displacement Mass Killing Sexual Violence Ongoing Killing was the defining act
Displaced
5.5 million
about 2.7 million were displaced in the first phase from 2003; after the 2023 resumption Darfur holds roughly 64% of Sudan's 8.8 million internally displaced, on the order of 5.5 million as of mid-2026
Share of the population affected
92%
of the population of the Darfur region of Sudan at the outbreak of the conflict in 2003, 2003
Killed
200,000–400,000
excess mortality incl. disease and starvation

As of 2026. Displacement in Darfur has continued to grow through 2025-26 with the fall of El Fasher and the emptying of the Zamzam and Abu Shouk camps, and no verified region-wide total has been published since.

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What happened

Beginning in 2003, non-Arab Darfuri rebel groups took up arms against Sudan's central government over marginalization; Khartoum responded with a scorched-earth counterinsurgency campaign using regular forces and allied Arab militias known as the Janjaweed, targeting the Fur, Masalit, and Zaghawa ethnic groups. The United States government formally declared the campaign genocide in 2004, while a 2005 UN Commission of Inquiry found evidence of war crimes and crimes against humanity but did not conclude genocide had occurred; the International Criminal Court later indicted Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir on genocide, war crimes and crimes against humanity charges. The initial 2003-2005 phase displaced an estimated 2.7 million people and killed roughly 200,000-400,000, with death toll estimates varying considerably by source. Violence in Darfur, including large-scale killings in El Geneina and the 2024-25 siege of El Fasher, resurged dramatically after the outbreak of Sudan's broader civil war in April 2023.

Parties

Sudanese government forces and allied Janjaweed militias (later reorganized as the Rapid Support Forces) fought Darfuri rebel groups; the campaign against Fur, Masalit and Zaghawa communities was formally declared genocide by the United States

Disputed

The U.S. government and some scholars have formally characterized the 2003-2005 campaign as genocide; the UN Commission of Inquiry stopped short of that designation while finding war crimes and crimes against humanity; death toll estimates range from roughly 200,000 to 400,000 or higher.

The denominator

Sudan's 2008 census recorded roughly 7.5 million people in the Darfur states, implying about 6 million in 2003; the 2008 count was boycotted in parts of the region and is disputed by Darfuri groups, and no census has been held since. Estimates for Darfur's population today run from 9 to 11 million.

The figure spans two distinct wars — the 2003-2005 campaign and the RSF offensives since 2023 — and many Darfuris displaced in the first were displaced again in the second, while the region's population grew by half over the period, so the share against a 2003 base overstates the proportion of individuals affected.

Where the baseline comes from

On the death toll

The figure of about 200,000 was the working UN estimate from 2006 and remains the most frequently cited; the US GAO's 2007 review of six competing estimates for February 2003 to August 2005 found figures reported by the State Department and others reaching about 400,000, the highest associated with the analyst Eric Reeves. Degomme and Guha-Sapir's 2010 Lancet study for CRED estimated roughly 298,000 excess deaths through 2008 and found that around 80 per cent were from disease rather than violence — a distinction routinely lost when the number is quoted as a count of people killed. Sudan's government under Omar al-Bashir rejected all of these, putting the toll at about 10,000 and accusing the UN of exaggeration. The range given here is an excess-mortality range and is not comparable with a direct-killing count.

Documented forms of violence

Mass KillingSexual ViolenceTortureDestruction of Property

Documented by the UN International Commission of Inquiry on Darfur (2005) — mass killing, torture, rape and forced displacement by government forces and allied militias — and charged by the ICC Prosecutor against Omar al-Bashir as murder, extermination, rape, torture and pillage; Sudan rejects both.

Formal findings

Movements mapped

Countries touched, on present-day borders

Sudan, Chad

Sources

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