Human Conflict Project

All events · The Long Emergencies

Military Operations and Mass Displacement in Pakistan's Tribal Districts

2004–2018 · South & Central Asia

Displacement
Displaced
5 million
UNHCR and Pakistani authorities registered around 2-3 million people displaced in weeks by the Malakand and Swat operation of April-May 2009, described by UNHCR at the time as one of the largest and most rapid displacements in recent history; the North Waziristan operation Zarb-e-Azb of June 2014 displaced around 1 million registered people; and successive operations in Bajaur, Mohmand, Khyber, Orakzai, Kurram and South Waziristan from 2008 displaced hundreds of thousands more. Cumulative registered displacement across 2008-2016 is generally put at about 5 million, from Pakistan's FATA Disaster Management Authority and UNHCR registration; people displaced repeatedly are counted more than once.
Share of the population affected
67%
of the combined population of the Federally Administered Tribal Areas and Malakand Division at the census nearest the start of the operations, 1998

Open on the interactive map →

What happened

From 2004 the Pakistani army fought a series of campaigns against the Pakistani Taliban and allied groups in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas and adjoining districts, each of which required or produced the evacuation of the civilian population. The largest single episode was the Malakand and Swat operation of spring 2009, when two to three million people left in a matter of weeks, most staying with host families rather than in camps; Operation Zarb-e-Azb in North Waziristan from June 2014 displaced about a million registered people to Bannu and beyond, with the district closed to civilians for years. Displacement was accompanied by curfews, the destruction of houses and bazaars in militant-held areas by both air strikes and militants, and by collective punishment provisions under the colonial-era Frontier Crimes Regulation. Returns were organised in phases from 2015 and mostly completed by 2018, when the tribal areas were merged into Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and the Frontier Crimes Regulation abolished; returnees found extensive destruction and, in some agencies, restrictions on movement. Independent access to the areas during operations was almost entirely closed, so casualty and damage assessments rest largely on official statements.

Parties

The Pakistani military conducted successive offensives against militant groups in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas and Malakand, evacuating whole districts

Disputed

Civilian casualty figures from military operations and from US drone strikes in the same areas are disputed; the Pakistani military's counts differ from those of local organisations and of the Bureau of Investigative Journalism.

The denominator

The 1998 census counted 3.18 million in FATA and 4,262,700 in Malakand Division, a combined 7.44 million; by the 2017 census the same areas held about 5.0 million and 7.51 million respectively, some 12.5 million in all. The 2009 Swat and Bajaur operations alone displaced over two million people in a matter of weeks, one of the fastest mass displacements on record, and successive operations through 2014-16 in North and South Waziristan and Khyber displaced hundreds of thousands more.

Families were displaced repeatedly across successive operations between 2004 and 2018, so the five-million figure counts displacements rather than distinct people, and the denominator itself grew by two-thirds over the same period.

Where the baseline comes from

On the death toll

No defensible range for civilian deaths caused by the operations themselves. Total conflict deaths in Pakistan from militancy and counter-militancy across 2003-2018 are usually put at 60,000-80,000 in Pakistani official and South Asia Terrorism Portal tallies, but these cover the whole country and include militants and security forces, and cannot be attributed to the displacement operations specifically.

Documented forms of violence

Destruction of PropertyArbitrary Detention

Human Rights Watch and Pakistani human rights organisations documented house demolitions in cleared areas and detention without charge under the Actions (in Aid of Civil Power) Regulation.

Movements mapped

Countries touched, on present-day borders

Pakistan

Sources

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