From 133 BCE Emperor Wu abandoned the Han policy of appeasing the Xiongnu and launched decades of offensive campaigns that took the Ordos loop and then the Hexi corridor, expelling the Xiongnu and their subordinate confederations from pasture they had held for generations. The conquered ground was held by settlement: the imperial histories record repeated state operations moving hundreds of thousands of people — disaster refugees, convicts, amnestied criminals, freed slaves and poor peasants — into new frontier commanderies, supported by military-agricultural colonies whose settlers depended on the state for land, tools, seed grain and protection. Han administrative documents recovered from the Juyan and Dunhuang garrisons give an unusually direct picture of these colonies. The result was a permanent demographic transformation of the northwest, the opening of the corridor toward Central Asia, and the displacement of steppe populations whose numbers no source records. The Chinese figures are better grounded than most ancient numbers because they derive partly from real fiscal and census administration, but they still reach us through court historiography.
Emperor Wu of Han drove the Xiongnu from the Ordos and the Hexi corridor and settled hundreds of thousands of state-directed migrants, convicts and garrison farmers in the newly annexed frontier commanderies
The only hard datum is the census of 2 CE, which registered 57,671,400 people in 12,233,062 households — one of the earliest reliable state censuses anywhere. Working back from it, historians of Han demography put the population at the height of Emperor Wu's campaigns at roughly 40-50 million, allowing for growth over the intervening century and for the wars' own losses.
No range can be given. The Han–Xiongnu wars involved large campaign armies and heavy losses on both sides recorded episodically in the Shiji and Hanshu, but there is no basis for a total, and mortality among the resettled colonists is undocumented.
The compulsory movement of convicts, conscripts and state-directed settlers into frontier military-agricultural colonies is documented in the Han histories and in the surviving Juyan garrison documents analysed in the modern scholarship.
China, Mongolia