Human Conflict Project

All events · The Long Emergencies

Syrian Civil War: Refugees and Internal Displacement

2011–ongoing · Middle East & North Africa

Displacement Mass Killing Sexual Violence Ongoing
Displaced
13 million
about 13 million at the peak — roughly 6.8 million refugees and 6.5 million internally displaced; since the fall of the Assad government UNHCR has recorded some 1.67 million refugee returns and 1.9 million IDP returns, with about 5.5 million still internally displaced as of mid-2026
Share of the population affected
62%
of the population of Syria at the start of the uprising, 2011
Killed
306,887–618,000
conflict deaths incl. combatants

As of 2026. Displacement figures have been falling since the fall of the Assad government in December 2024, with over a million refugee returns recorded and the UN projecting up to a million more during 2026, so the headline figure describes the war's peak rather than the current position.

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What happened

What began as peaceful protests against Bashar al-Assad's government in March 2011 escalated into a full-scale civil war involving the Syrian government (backed by Russia and Iran), a fragmented array of opposition and jihadist factions, Kurdish-led forces in the northeast, Turkey, and periodic Israeli and US strikes. Over more than a decade, the war displaced over 13 million people at its peak: roughly 6.8 million refugees, hosted mainly by Turkey, Lebanon, and Jordan, and 6.7–7.2 million internally displaced within Syria, alongside hundreds of thousands of deaths. Chemical weapons attacks, sieges of cities such as Aleppo and Ghouta, and the rise and fall of ISIS's self-declared caliphate compounded the humanitarian crisis. Assad's government collapsed in a rapid opposition offensive in December 2024, after which over a million Syrians began returning from abroad and from internal displacement, though the country's political transition and the fate of millions of remaining refugees and IDPs remained unresolved as of 2026.

Parties

A popular uprising against the government of Bashar al-Assad escalated into a multi-sided civil war involving Syrian government forces, an array of opposition and jihadist groups, Kurdish-led forces, and foreign militaries (Russia, Iran, Turkey, the US, and Israel), driving the largest displacement crisis in the world until Assad's government fell in December 2024.

Disputed

Casualty and displacement estimates vary among UN agencies, the former Syrian government, and opposition-aligned monitoring groups (such as the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights); characterizations of the conflict's origins and the roles of foreign state and non-state actors remain politically disputed.

The denominator

World Bank and UN series put Syria's population at about 21 million in 2011; the Syrian Central Bureau of Statistics projected 22.5 million from the 2004 census. At the peak of the displacement roughly 6.8 million Syrians were registered as refugees, chiefly in Turkey, Lebanon and Jordan, and about 7 million were displaced inside the country — together more than half the pre-war population.

The total counts refugees and internally displaced people together and includes people displaced repeatedly over fourteen years, so it is not a count of distinct individuals; substantial returns since the change of government have reduced the standing figure.

Where the baseline comes from

On the death toll

The UN Human Rights Office's statistically modelled estimate of 306,887 civilian deaths (95 per cent credible interval 281,443-337,971) covers 1 March 2011 to 31 March 2021 and counts civilians only, combining 143,350 individually documented deaths with 163,537 imputed via multiple systems estimation; the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights' nearly 618,000 covers all deaths including 343,344 combatants through 2024 and excludes over 55,000 it believes died under torture in government detention but could not document. The former Syrian government rejected both, and neither total captures the March 2025 coastal killings or later violence.

Documented forms of violence

Mass KillingSummary ExecutionTortureStarvation and SiegeEnforced DisappearanceArbitrary DetentionSexual ViolenceDestruction of Property

The UN Commission of Inquiry on Syria, OHCHR, the Syrian Network for Human Rights and Human Rights Watch documented sieges and deliberate starvation of civilian areas, chemical attacks, systematic torture and deaths in government detention, tens of thousands of enforced disappearances, sexual violence, and the destruction of homes and neighbourhoods.

Formal findings

Movements mapped

Countries touched, on present-day borders

Syria, Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan

Sources

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