Human Conflict Project

All events · Borders by Force Again

2021 Taliban Takeover and Afghan Displacement

2021–ongoing · South & Central Asia

Displacement Ongoing
Displaced
2.3 million
About 700,000 people newly displaced inside Afghanistan in 2021, on top of a pre-existing internally displaced population of more than 3.5 million, plus about 1.6 million who fled to neighbouring countries after the Taliban takeover: roughly one million to Iran and 600,000 to Pakistan, on UNHCR border-monitoring figures cited by Germany's Federal Agency for Civic Education. The mass returns and deportations from Pakistan and Iran since late 2023, which UNHCR put at 5.4 million by February 2026, are a separate event recorded in their own entry and are not counted here.
Share of the population affected
5.7%
of the population of Afghanistan when the Taliban took power, 2021
Killed
1,000–3,000
direct killing

As of 2026-02. Figures are for displacement caused by the 2021 takeover: OCHA/UNHCR's ~700,000 newly internally displaced in 2021 and UNHCR's ~1.6 million new arrivals in Iran and Pakistan. The forced returns since late 2023 (5.4 million by February 2026, per UNHCR) are counted in the separate expulsions entry.

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What happened

As US and NATO forces completed their withdrawal in August 2021, the Taliban rapidly seized control of Afghanistan, prompting a new wave of displacement, including an estimated 700,000 people newly displaced within the country that year alone amid the collapse of the Afghan government and subsequent economic crisis. Hundreds of thousands of Afghans, including former government employees, security personnel, and members of at-risk groups, fled or sought evacuation abroad, mainly to Pakistan and Iran. UNHCR counted about 1.6 million Afghans arriving in neighbouring countries after the takeover, roughly one million in Iran and 600,000 in Pakistan. From late 2023 Pakistan and Iran reversed much of this movement through mass deportation campaigns, which are recorded as a separate event.

Parties

The Taliban seized control of Afghanistan as US and NATO forces withdrew in August 2021, triggering internal displacement and refugee flight, later compounded by large-scale expulsions of Afghans from Pakistan and Iran

Disputed

Total displacement and return figures are disputed and fluctuate as reporting continues; Pakistan and Iran describe their expulsion campaigns as enforcement against undocumented or unregistered migrants, while UN agencies and Afghan advocacy groups describe many of the returns as forced and occurring amid unsafe or precarious conditions in Afghanistan.

The denominator

UN Population Division estimates put Afghanistan at about 40.1 million in 2021. IOM and UNHCR recorded roughly 700,000 newly internally displaced in 2021 alone on top of an existing 3.5 million IDP caseload, and several hundred thousand left the country; since late 2023, mass expulsions have run the other way, with UNHCR reporting 5.4 million Afghans returned from Iran and Pakistan.

The numerator counts displacement caused by the takeover. Since 2023 more Afghans have been pushed back into the country by Iran and Pakistan than left it after August 2021; those returns are counted in the separate expulsions entry, and many returnees are the same people who fled in 2021-22.

Where the baseline comes from

On the death toll

No comprehensive count exists for the period after 15 August 2021. The ISKP suicide bombing at Kabul airport on 26 August 2021 killed over 180 people (169 Afghans and 13 US service members); UNAMA has documented several hundred extrajudicial killings, arbitrary arrests, cases of torture and enforced disappearances of former government officials and security force personnel, and Human Rights Watch documented the same pattern in its 2021-22 investigations; ISKP attacks on Hazara Shia mosques, schools and neighbourhoods have killed hundreds more. Far larger mortality attributed to the post-2021 economic collapse, banking sanctions and aid cuts is not counted here, and the Taliban authorities dispute UNAMA's findings.

Documented forms of violence

Summary ExecutionEnforced DisappearanceArbitrary DetentionTorture

UNAMA's human rights reporting and Human Rights Watch documented extrajudicial killings, enforced disappearances, arbitrary detention and torture of former Afghan National Defence and Security Forces members and former government officials after August 2021, despite the Taliban's declared amnesty.

Movements mapped

Countries touched, on present-day borders

Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iran

Related entries

Sources

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